Upcoming events

Strategic and counterfactual reasoning in AI-assisted decision making

Efstratios Tsirtsis Max Planck Institute for Software Systems
19 Aug 2025, 2:30 pm - 3:30 pm
Kaiserslautern building G26, room 111
SWS Student Defense Talks - Thesis Defense
From finance and healthcare to criminal justice and transportation, many domains that involve high-stakes decisions, traditionally made by humans, are increasingly integrating artificial intelligence (AI) systems into their decision making pipelines. While recent advances in machine learning and optimization have given rise to AI systems with unprecedented capabilities, fully automating such decisions is often undesirable. Instead, a promising direction lies in AI-assisted decision making, where AI informs or complements human decisions without completely removing human oversight. ...
From finance and healthcare to criminal justice and transportation, many domains that involve high-stakes decisions, traditionally made by humans, are increasingly integrating artificial intelligence (AI) systems into their decision making pipelines. While recent advances in machine learning and optimization have given rise to AI systems with unprecedented capabilities, fully automating such decisions is often undesirable. Instead, a promising direction lies in AI-assisted decision making, where AI informs or complements human decisions without completely removing human oversight. In this talk, I will present my PhD work on AI-assisted decision making in settings where humans rely on two core cognitive capabilities: strategic reasoning and counterfactual reasoning. First, I will introduce game-theoretic methods for supporting policy design in strategic environments, enabling a decision maker to allocate resources (e.g., loans) to individuals who adapt their behavior in response to transparency regarding the decision policy. Next, I will present methods to enhance a decision maker’s counterfactual reasoning process— identifying key past decisions (e.g., in clinical treatments) which, if changed, could have improved outcomes and, hence, serve as valuable learning signals. Finally, I will discuss a computational model of how people attribute responsibility between humans and AI systems in collaborative settings, such as semi-autonomous driving, evaluated through a human subject study. I will conclude with key takeaways and future directions for designing AI systems that effectively support and interact with humans.
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Algorithmic Problems for Linear Recurrence Sequences

Joris Nieuwveld Max Planck Institute for Software Systems
05 Sep 2025, 3:00 pm - 4:00 pm
Saarbrücken building E1 5, room 029
SWS Student Defense Talks - Thesis Defense
Linear recurrence sequences (LRS) are among the most fundamental and easily definable classes of number sequences, encompassing many classical sequences such as polynomials, powers of two, and the Fibonacci numbers. They also describe the dynamics of iterated linear maps and arise naturally in numerous contexts within computer science, mathematics, and other quantitive sciences. However, despite their simplicity, many easy-to-state decision problems for LRS have stubbornly remained open for decades despite considerable and sustained attention. Chief among these are the Skolem problem and the Positivity problem, ...
Linear recurrence sequences (LRS) are among the most fundamental and easily definable classes of number sequences, encompassing many classical sequences such as polynomials, powers of two, and the Fibonacci numbers. They also describe the dynamics of iterated linear maps and arise naturally in numerous contexts within computer science, mathematics, and other quantitive sciences. However, despite their simplicity, many easy-to-state decision problems for LRS have stubbornly remained open for decades despite considerable and sustained attention. Chief among these are the Skolem problem and the Positivity problem, which ask to determine, for a given LRS, whether it contains a zero term and whether it contains only positive terms, respectively. For both problems, decidability is currently open, i.e., whether they are algorithmically solvable.

In this thesis, we present the following results. For the Skolem problem, we introduce an algorithm for simple LRS whose correctness is unconditional but whose termination relies on two classical, widely-believed number-theoretic conjectures. This algorithm is implementable in practice, and we report on experimental results. For the Positivity problem, we introduce the notion of reversible LRS, which enables us to carve out a large decidable class of sequences. We also examine various expansions of classical logics by predicates obtained from LRS. In particular, we study expansions of monadic second-order logic of the natural numbers with order and present major advances over the seminal results of Büchi, Elgot, and Rabin from the early 1960s. Finally, we investigate fragments of Presburger arithmetic, where, among others, we establish the decidability of the existential fragment of Presburger arithmetic expanded with powers of 2 and 3.
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